I would say that it;s really smal chance (9.68%) if we look on other world changes.
There you can see statistics of all mini world changes:
Mini World Changes, 465 trials
Statistics found on TibiaFandom - link
Loqhakk - Applying to TibiaQA team as ModeratorJuly 26, 2024
Nareull - Applying to TibiaQA team as ModeratorJuly 14, 2024
Looking for new TibiaQA staff membersJuly 12, 2024